The thing is, the UK does not
have one housing market. Instead, it is a patchwork of mini property markets
all performing in different ways in different areas. At one end of scale is London, which has seen
average prices grow in the last twelve months by a shade under 19% - and again
that is an average because some Borough’s in London have risen by 26% - whilst
in the land of Daffodils, by contrast, Wales only saw a 2% increase in property
values, although in the Merthyr Valleys, they dropped by over 11%.
Well we can’t ignore the rest
of the UK, and we can’t forget that the Chancellor’s Stamp Duty reforms have
polarised the London property markets above £1,000,000 because at the top end
of the market, punitive Stamp Duty charges will dampen demand further. While
the Bank of England warned of the growing London property price bubble in the Spring
of 2014, even talk of a recovery in some areas was premature. In 2015,
irrespective of where you are in the UK, one story will unite the patchwork quilt
of markets - really slow property value growth.
But what about Burton?
Well, we haven’t had the
December figures from the Land Registry yet but the last few months’ activity
and prices achieved would suggest neither house price growth nor drops. In fact, most sellers are buyers anyway, so
if you need to take less for yours, you won’t have to pay as much for the one
you want to buy... and that is good news for everyone as most move up market
when they move. This is even better for landlord investors, as they can bag a
bargain as well.
The question you should be
asking though is not only is what happening to property prices, but which price
band exactly is selling? I like to keep an eye on the property market in Burton
on a daily basis because it enables me to give the best advice and opinion on
what, or not, to buy in Burton.
Over the last two months (62
days to be precise), 62 properties with asking prices under £100k have come
onto the market in Burton and 32.2% of them (20 properties) have a buyer and are
sold stc.
Between £100k and £150k, of
the 88 properties that come on to the market, 25% of them (22 properties) have
a buyer. The £150k to £200k price range has seen 71 properties come on to the
market, and an unimpressive 11.2% have a buyer (8 properties). The more
expensive £200k to £300k range has seen 6 of the 47 properties that came on to
the market find buyers (12.7%) but the £300k+ range has been even slower, with
only 7.1% (1 property) of the 14 that have come on to the market, find buyers.
The next three months’ activity will be crucial in understanding which
way the market will go this year and I honestly believe we will not see
any house price growth or drops this side of the election. Election or no
election, people will always need a roof over their head and that is why the
property market has rode the storms of Oil crisis in the 1970’s, the 1980’s
depression, Black Monday in the 1990’s, and latterly the Credit Crunch together
with the various house price crashes of 1973, 1987 and 2008.
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